2008 US Presidential Election, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Hillary Clinton for President., Mitt Romney for President., Al Gore for President.February 9, 2007 1:49 pm
Gore, Clinton Lead Romney by Double Digits
Former Vice President Al Gore (D) leads former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R) 52% to 38% in the latest Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 poll. A month ago, Gore had an 11-point lead over Romney.
Senator Hillary Clinton (D) has upped her lead over Romney to double digits. She now leads the Republican Presidential hopeful 51% to 41%. A month ago, the former First Lady was ahead of Romney 49% to 41%.
Clinton leads all Democrats in polling for the Democratic Presidential nomination. Gore, who has not indicated whether he will run, is currently tied for third with former North Carolina Senator John Edwards (D). Polling for the Democratic nomination is updated each Monday.
Wow, this is amazing! This is better news for Romney than I thought. Ironically, you do not state the accuracy of the Rasmussen poll. Most Rasmussen polls spend the required amount to get to the + or - 3% points, by contacting over 1000 random people in the US. The moves in the poll you site: Gore (who is not running yet) beats Romney by 11 points last month and 14 points this month. That slide is within the accuracy of 3% points for the poll, thus it’s a wash. Hillary’s numbers are less impressive, 8 points a month ago and 11 points this month, also a wash due to poll accuracy.
The most telling aspect of this poll is that a well known Vice President and a well known First Lady are within striking distance to an obscure Governor from Massachusetts. Now that’s amazing.
Comment by Nathan W. — February 9, 2007 @ 3:52 pm
Wow, I was wrong! Which is even better news for Romney than I thought. The Rasmussen poll has an accuracy of + or - 4% points, by contacting just 800 random people in the US. Simple Statistics 101 says that due to the accuracy of the poll, +4% to Romney and -4% to Hillary that they could be in a dead heat as of last month. It’s always fun to realize how inaccurate polls are
Comment by Nathan W. — February 9, 2007 @ 4:01 pm
For further understanding of polls see:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2004/10/10/EDGMV952LR1.DTL
Comment by Nathan W. — February 9, 2007 @ 4:09 pm